Develop the three-week moving average forecasts for this time series. (Round your answers to two decimal places.)WeekTime SeriesValueForecast118211316410 Incorrect: Your answer is incorrect.517 Incorrect: Your answer is incorrect.615 Incorrect: Your answer is incorrect.Compute MSE. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)MSE

Answers

Answer 1

Answer:

Three-week moving average forecast

[tex]\begin{array}{ccc}{Week} & {Time\ Series\ Value} & {Forecast} & {1} & {18} & { } & 2 & {13} & { } & {3} & {16} & { } & {4} & {11} & {15.67 } & 5 & {17} & {13.33 } & {6} & {14} & {14.67 } \ \end{array}[/tex]

[tex]MSE = 11.90[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Given

[tex]\begin{array}{ccccccc}{Month} & {1} & {2} & {3} & {4} & {5}& {6} & {Value} & {18} & {13} & {16} & {11} & {17} & {14} \ \end{array}[/tex]

Solving (a): Three-week moving average forecast

This is calculated as:

[tex]F_{t+1} = \frac{\sum recent\ k\ data}{k}[/tex]

Since it is three-week, we start from t = 3

For t = 3; we consider months 1, 2 and 3

[tex]F_{3+1} = \frac{18 + 13 + 16}{3}[/tex]

[tex]F_{4} = \frac{47}{3}=15.67[/tex]

For t = 4; we consider months 2, 3 and 4

[tex]F_{4+1} = \frac{13 + 16+11}{3}[/tex]

[tex]F_{5} = \frac{40}{3}=13.33[/tex]

For t = 5; we consider months 3, 4 and 5

[tex]F_{5+1} = \frac{16+11+17}{3}[/tex]

[tex]F_{6} = \frac{44}{3}=14.67[/tex]

So, the forecast are:

[tex]F_{4} =15.67[/tex]

[tex]F_{5} = 13.33[/tex]

[tex]F_{6} = 14.67[/tex]

[tex]\begin{array}{ccc}{Week} & {Time\ Series\ Value} & {Forecast} & {1} & {18} & { } & 2 & {13} & { } & {3} & {16} & { } & {4} & {11} & {15.67 } & 5 & {17} & {13.33 } & {6} & {14} & {14.67 } \ \end{array}[/tex]

Solving (b): MSE

To do this, we simply calculate the square of the forecast error

The forecast error (E) is:

[tex]E = Time\ Series\ Value - Forecast[/tex]

So, we have:

Forecast error                                                     The square

[tex]E_4 = 11 - 15.67 = -4.67[/tex]                                       [tex]E_4^2 =21.81[/tex]

[tex]E_5 = 17 - 13.33 = 3.67[/tex]                                          [tex]E_5^2 = 13.45[/tex]

[tex]E_6 = 14 - 14.67 = -0.67[/tex]                                       [tex]E_6^2 = 0.45[/tex]

[tex]MSE = \frac{E_4^2 + E_5^2 + E_6^2}{3}[/tex]

[tex]MSE = \frac{21.81 + 13.45 + 0.45}{3}[/tex]

[tex]MSE = \frac{35.71}{3}[/tex]

[tex]MSE = 11.90[/tex]


Related Questions

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Answers

Answer:

b. angle 1 and angle 4 are vertical angles

instructions: Find the slope of the line through the points (6, 16) and \ -6,4) Make sure to simplify fractions and enter your answers with a foward slash (i.e. "/"). If the slope is undefined enter "undefined."

Answers

9514 1404 393

Answer:

  1

Step-by-step explanation:

The slope formula is useful for this.

  m = (y2 -y1)/(x2 -x1)

  m = (4 -16)/(-6 -6) = -12/-12

  m = 1

The slope of the line through the given points is 1.

For the function G defined by G(x)=5x+3, find G(r+5).

Answers

Answer:

8x+5

Step-by-step explanation:

any letter will mean 1

Answer:

5(r+5)+3=5r+25+3=5)]

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Answer:

It's B, Points a and f. -5 and 5

What is the point-slope form of a line with slope 3 that contains the point
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Answers

Answer:

y-1 = 3(x-2)

Step-by-step explanation:

Point slope form is

y-y1 = m(x-x1) where m is the slope and (x1,y1) is a point on the line

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simplify 7x + 2 - 3x, if x = 8

Answers

Answer:

34

Step-by-step explanation:

Answer:

34

Step-by-step explanation:

(7*8)+2-(3*8)

=34

....

I need help Thank you i will give brinalist

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Answer:

the answer to this is c no association.

Answer:

C

Step-by-step explanation:

The scatter plot doesn't look linear at all. Therefore, there is no association to game attendance and games won.

Given the function f(x) = 0.5|x - 4| + 6, for what values of x is f(x) = 7

Answers

Answer:

6 or 2

Step-by-step explanation:

f(x) = 0.5|x - 4| + 6

0.5|x - 4| + 6 = 7

0.5|x - 4| = 7-6

0.5|x - 4| = 1

|x - 4| = 2

x -4 = ± 2

x-4 = 2 ==> x = 6

x-4 = -2 => x = 2

so the value of x = 6 or 2

Bonjour, je suis en 4e et j’aimerais que vous m’aidiez avec cette feuille d’exercice s’il vous plaît ? (en précisent vos réponses).
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Answers

Step-by-step explanation:

1. Soit

T = le coût d'un ticket

5T + 1.8 = 35

T = (35-1.8)/5 = 6.64

On ne sait pas le coût d'un ticket de tramway! :(

2.

a.

1 h : 60 min

x : 18

x = 1*18/60 = 0.3, ou 0.3h

b. => 1h18m = 1.3h

3. 16 L : 4 h

a.

x L : 365*24

x = 365*24 * 16/4 = 35040 L

b.

1 m^3 = 1000 L : 5.2 euros

35040 L : y euros

y = 5.2*35040/1000 = 182.21 euros (au centième)

4.

a. Voir graphique ci-attachée.

b. On voit bien que tous les points tombent sur la droite passant par l'origine, donc la relation est linéaire, ou proportionnelle.

c. La hauteur requise pour 270L est de 100 cm, approximativement, selon la graphique.

Notez la ligne bleue horizontale.

d. L'équation de la capacité (C) versus la hauteur (h) est

C(h) = (8/3)h

Pour C=270, 270 = (8/3)h  => h=270*(3/8) = 101.25

5. et plus

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What is the net price if a purchase would have come to $1,500 at the regular price, but a 3% discount applies to this purchase.

Answers

Step-by-step explanation:

100%-3%=97%

$1500*97%=$1455

help

R The measure of central angle RST is a radians What is the area of the shaded sector? S O 41 units2 4 O 811 units2 T O 16 TT units2 O 20 1 units2​

Answers

Answer:

ANSWER: 8TT units

Step-by-step explanation:

hope it helps thanks❤

The area of the shaded sector RST is 8π unit²

What is area?

Area is the amount of space occupied by a two dimensional shape or object.

The area of a circle is given by:

A = π(radius)²

The circle has radius of 4 unit and angle of π radians. Hence:

Area of sector RST = (angle/2) * radius²

Area of sector RST = (π/2) * 4² = 8π unit²

The area of the shaded sector RST is 8π unit²

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Answers

Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Answers

Answer:

Step-by-step explanation:

[tex]x_{1}=7 \ ; y_{1} = -4\\\\x_{2} = -8 \ ; y_{2}=5\\\\CD = \sqrt{(-8-7)^{2}+(5-[-4])^{2}}\\\\=\sqrt{(-15)^{2}+(5+4)^{2}}\\\\=\sqrt{225+(9)^{2}}\\\\=\sqrt{225+81}\\\\=\sqrt{306}\\\\=\sqrt{3*3*2*17}\\\\=3\sqrt{34}[/tex]

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Answers

Step-by-step explanation:

Hey there!

The equation of a line which passes through the point (1,1) is (y-1) = m1 (x-1)...............(i) {using one point formula}

Also, another equation which is perpendicular to the line is y = 1/5 x + 4/5..........(ii)

Comparing equation (ii) with y= mx+c, we get;

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Now, As per the condition of perpendicular lines,

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or, m1 * 1/2 = -1

or, m1= -2

Therefore, m1 = -2.

Keeping the value of m1 in equation (i) we get;

y-1 = -2(x-1)

y-1 = -2x+1

or, y+2x-2= 0

Therefore, the required equation is 2x+y-2= 0.

Hope it helps!

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Answer:

178

Step-by-step explanation:

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area of small rectangle:20

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Answer:

(x+2)(x-4)(x-3)

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Answers

9514 1404 393

Answer:

  1731 ft

Step-by-step explanation:

The tangent relation is useful in this problem.

  Tan = Opposite/Adjacent

The height of the light is found to be ...

  tan(11°) = height/(639 ft)

  height = (639 ft)·tan(11°) . . . . . solve for height

Then the distance from the light to point B is ...

  tan(3°) = height/(B distance)

  B distance = height/tan(3°) = (639 ft)·tan(11°)/tan(3°) ≈ 2370 ft

Then the distance from point A to point B is ...

  2370 ft -639 ft = 1731 ft . . . AB distance

Tangent or tanθ in a right angle triangle is the ratio of its perpendicular to its base. The distance between points A and B is 1731 feet.

What is Tangent (Tanθ)?

The tangent or tanθ in a right angle triangle is the ratio of its perpendicular to its base. it is given as,

[tex]\rm{Tangent(\theta) = \dfrac{Perpendicular}{Base}[/tex]

where,

θ is the angle,

Perpendicular is the side of the triangle opposite to the angle θ,

The base is the adjacent smaller side of the angle θ.

As it is given that the distance between the lighthouse and point A is 639 feet, while the angle of elevation from that point is 11°. therefore, using the tan function, the height of the lighthouse,

[tex]\rm Tan(\theta) = \dfrac{Perpendicular}{Base}\\\\Tan(11^o) = \dfrac{CD}{CA}\\\\Tan(11^o) = \dfrac{CD}{639}\\\\Tan(11^o) \times 639 = CD\\\\[/tex]

As we know that CD is the height of the lighthouse, now

In Δ BCD

The tan function for the distance between the lighthouse and point B can be written as,

[tex]\rm Tan(\theta) = \dfrac{Perpendicular}{Base}\\\\Tan(3^o) = \dfrac{CD}{CA}\\\\Tan(3^o) = \dfrac{Tan(11^o) \times 639}{CA}\\\\CA = 2370\ ft.[/tex]

Hence, the distance between the lighthouse and Point B is 2370 ft.

Now, we know the distance between the lighthouse and Point A, and the distance between the lighthouse and Point B, therefore,

The Distance between Point A and B (AB) = CB - CA

                                                                       = 2370 - 639

                                                                       = 1731 ft.

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Art Not in Art Total
Music 11 34
Not in Music
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35
14
11
46

Answers

Answer:

11

Step-by-step explanation:

solve by drawing the area model and using the standard algorithm 7,481 × 290

Answers

Mark Brainliest please

Answer :

2169490


Check the image for step by step solution

what is 35% written like as a decimal

Answers

Answer:

.35

Step-by-step explanation:

35%

Percent means out of 100

35% = 35/100

Writing this as a decimal

.35

Find the measure of the unknown angle.

Answers

Answer:

120 °

Step-by-step explanation:

the angle contained in a circle = 360 °

135 + 105 +? = 360

240 + ? =360

? = 360 - 240

= 120°

Retention rates in a weight loss program. Americans spend over $30 billion annually on a variety of weight loss products and services. In a study of retention rates of those using the Rewards Program at Jenny Craig in 2005, it was found that about 18% of those who began the program dropped out in the first four weeks.10 Assume we have a random sample of 300 people beginning the program.
a) What is the mean number of people who would drop out of the Rewards Program within four weeks in a sample of this size? What is the standard deviation?
b) What is the approximate probability that at least 235 people in the sample will still be in the Rewards Program after the first four weeks?

Answers

Answer:

(a)

[tex]\mu=54[/tex]    

The standard deviation is  

[tex]\sigma=6.6543[/tex]

(b)

[tex]\mu=246\\\sigma=6.6543[/tex]  

Here sample size is large and np and n(1-p) are both greater than 30. So we can use a normal approximation of binomial distribution. z-score for Y = 234.5 (using continuity correction) is  

[tex]z=-1.73[/tex]

So the approximate probability that at least 235 people in the sample will still be in the Rewards Program after the first four weeks is  

[tex]P(Y\geq 235)=P(Y\geq 234.5)=P(z\geq -1.73)=0.9582[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:  

Let X is a random variable that shows the number of people who would drop out of the Rewards Program within four weeks. Here X has binomial distribution with parameters n = 300 and p = 0.18.

(a)  

The mean number of people who would drop out of the Rewards Program within four weeks in a sample of this size is  

[tex]\mu=np=300\cdot 0.18=54[/tex]  

The standard deviation is  

[tex]\sigma=\sqrt{np(1-p)}=\sqrt{300\cdot 0.18\cdot 0.82}=6.6543[/tex]  

(b)  

Let Y is a random variable that shows the number of people in the sample who will still be in the Rewards Program after the first four weeks. Here Y has a binomial distribution with parameters n= 300 and p=0.82. So mean of Y is  

[tex]\mu=np=300\cdot 0.82=246\\\sigma=\sqrt{np(1-p)}=\sqrt{300\cdot 0.18\cdot 0.82}=6.6543[/tex]  

Here sample size is large and np and n(1-p) are both greater than 30. So we can use a normal approximation of binomial distribution. z-score for Y = 234.5 (using continuity correction) is

[tex]z=\frac{Y-\mu}{\sigma}=\frac{234.5-246}{6.6543}=-1.73[/tex]  

So the approximate probability that at least 235 people in the sample will still be in the Rewards Program after the first four weeks is  

[tex]P(Y\geq 235)=P(Y\geq 234.5)=P(z\geq -1.73)=0.9582[/tex]

Wilson and Brian are practicing for a swim meet. Last week, Wilson swam 400 meters on each day for three days. Brian swam 0.8 kilometers total for two days. Which boy swam farther last week and by how much?

Answers

Answer:

wilson swam farther by 0.4 km

Step-by-step explanation:

wilson swam 1.2km

brian swam 0.8km

1.2 - 0.8 = 0.4

Find the surface area of this rectangular prism 4ft, 8ft, 2ft

Answers

Answer:

112ft^2

Step-by-step explanation:

A = 2(wl+hl+hw)

A = 2[(4)(8)+(2)(4)+(2)(8)]

A = 2(32+8+16)

A = 2(56)

A = 112

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